Carroi 2-1 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.97
Over 2.5
64%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.63
No
36%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
47%
-11.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
53%
+11.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
57%
+7.0pp
36%
BTTS No
43%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carroi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.58
+61% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carroi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 2-0 HT 1-0 Carroi AND
20.01.2024 Carroi 0-4 HT 0-2 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
26.11.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-2 HT 0-0 Carroi AND
POST-MATCH Carroi vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carroi squeezed past Esperança dAndorra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Carroi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esperança dAndorra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carroi and 2.00 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Carroi vs Esperança dAndorra?

Carroi 2-1 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carroi vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carroi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carroi 40%, draw 22%, Esperança dAndorra 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carroi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →