Bumprom 4-0 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.18/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.18
+27% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BATE II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.07.2025 BATE II BATE II 2-3 HT 0-2 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
23.06.2024 BATE II BATE II 1-0 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
4-0
AWAY BATE II
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom cruised past BATE II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bumprom as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Bumprom had 47% of the ball to BATE II's 53%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bumprom and 1.50 for BATE II.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs BATE II?

Bumprom 4-0 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 45%, draw 26%, BATE II 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bumprom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bumprom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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16 Nov 2025
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