BATE II 2-3 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.89
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bumprom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 BATE II BATE II 1-0 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE II
2-3
AWAY Bumprom
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BATE II vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom nicked a narrow win over BATE II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bumprom as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, BATE II had 56% of the ball to Bumprom's 44%, shots finished 20-14.

What was the final score of BATE II vs Bumprom?

BATE II 2-3 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE II vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BATE II 35%, draw 24%, Bumprom 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bumprom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bumprom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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