FC Volna Pinsk 1-3 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.55
No
56%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.2pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.74/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.78
+8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.10.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
07.10.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-4 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
03.06.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1-3
AWAY Ostrovets FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC saw off FC Volna Pinsk 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Volna Pinsk had 62% of the ball to Ostrovets FC's 38%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.33 for Ostrovets FC.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Ostrovets FC?

FC Volna Pinsk 1-3 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 49%, draw 26%, Ostrovets FC 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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