Ostrovets FC 1-0 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 56%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
+150% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.10.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-4 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
03.06.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC edged past FC Volna Pinsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ostrovets FC and 3.00 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Ostrovets FC 1-0 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 27%, draw 22%, FC Volna Pinsk 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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