Energetik-BGU Minsk 1-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.69/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.26
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orsha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Orsha Orsha 2-2 HT 2-1 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk
1-1
AWAY Orsha
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energetik-BGU Minsk and Orsha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Energetik-BGU Minsk had 43% of the ball to Orsha's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Orsha?

Energetik-BGU Minsk 1-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energetik-BGU Minsk vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Energetik-BGU Minsk 35%, draw 25%, Orsha 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orsha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orsha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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