Saint George SC 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.63
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.4
No
70%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
52%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
35%
-6.4pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
38%
-7.7pp
70%
BTTS No
62%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint George SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Saint George SC vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint George SC nicked a narrow win over Ethiopian Insurance 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Saint George SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Saint George SC vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Saint George SC 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint George SC vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Saint George SC 32%, draw 28%, Ethiopian Insurance 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
16 Nov 2025
00:00 Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance Analysis →