Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.94
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
31%
-8.3pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.72/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.38
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +92%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
26.10.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
10.05.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-1 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-0
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis squeezed past Ethiopian Insurance 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 22% / 38% / 39% — and on the day Kedus Giorgis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 50% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 50%, shots finished 1-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 0.33 for Ethiopian Insurance.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 22%, draw 38%, Ethiopian Insurance 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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