Ikorodu City 2-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
10%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
33%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
61%
+9.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
10%
Away Win
14%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.24/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.39
+49% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.02.2025 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 2-1 HT 0-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
06.10.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
2-1
AWAY Plateau United
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City nicked a narrow win over Plateau United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 58% of the ball to Plateau United's 42%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ikorodu City and 1.00 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Plateau United?

Ikorodu City 2-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 70%, draw 20%, Plateau United 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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