Plateau United 1-0 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.20/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Ikorodu City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Ikorodu City?

Plateau United 1-0 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 66%, draw 23%, Ikorodu City 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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