Kwara United 1-0 Remo Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Remo Stars EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.15/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.06
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Remo Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.04.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 2-1 HT 1-1 Remo Stars Remo Stars NIJ
20.03.2022 Remo Stars Remo Stars 3-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Remo Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United edged past Remo Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kwara United and 2.00 for Remo Stars.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Remo Stars?

Kwara United 1-0 Remo Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Remo Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 55%, draw 23%, Remo Stars 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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