Heartland 2-0 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Oct 2024

Heartland
2-0 HT 1-0
Niger Tornadoes
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Heartland vs Niger Tornadoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.48
Over 2.5
52%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
64%
-16.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
36%
+16.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Niger Tornadoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.17
-10% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Heartland vs Niger Tornadoes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland saw off Niger Tornadoes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heartland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Niger Tornadoes?

Heartland 2-0 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heartland 45%, draw 27%, Niger Tornadoes 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heartland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heartland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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