Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.76/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses 18.7
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-1
AWAY Farense
1.79 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
98 Passes 169
67% Pass Accuracy 57%
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 and Farense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 51% of the ball to Farense's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.79 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense?

Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 35%, draw 29%, Farense 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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