Leixoes vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leixoes
POR2
3-1
HT 1-1
Leixoes
POR2
Leixoes 0-1 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Leixoes had 55% of the ball to Chaves's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.68 to 1.05 — on chances, Leixoes could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Chaves?
Leixoes 0-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 32%, draw 24%, Chaves 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.