AS Agareb 1-3 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.45/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.09
+29% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous saw off AS Agareb 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sporting Ben Arous found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous?

AS Agareb 1-3 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Agareb win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 36%, draw 33%, Sporting Ben Arous 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Agareb) ✗ Under 2.5
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