Stade Gabesien 4-1 Moknine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Nov 2025

Stade Gabesien
4-1 HT 2-1
Moknine
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.6pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Gabesien v Moknine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Moknine EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.41/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.60
-75% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Gabesien
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moknine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Moknine 3-1 HT 2-0 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien TUN2

Stade Gabesien 4-1 Moknine — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Gabesien
4-1
AWAY Moknine
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Gabesien vs Moknine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Gabesien cruised past Moknine 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Gabesien as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Gabesien had 54% of the ball to Moknine's 46%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?

Stade Gabesien 4-1 Moknine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Stade Gabesien 65%, draw 22%, Moknine 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Gabesien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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