Aalborg 1-2 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.62
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.79
X/2 EV+ ✓
23%
5.88
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · X/2 at 5.88 — our 23% vs market 13.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.65/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.77
+79% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.0 Crosses 9.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
349 Passes 472
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
25.10.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
28.07.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
04.05.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 4-1 HT 2-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAK
25.04.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
21.04.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 2-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
1-2
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.84 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
420 Passes 328
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF edged past Aalborg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Silkeborg IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aalborg had 54% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 46%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.84 to 1.44 — on chances, Aalborg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalborg and 1.33 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF?

Aalborg 1-2 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Silkeborg IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 32%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Silkeborg IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Silkeborg IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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