Aalborg 2-1 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Jul 2024

Aalborg
2-1 HT 1-0
Silkeborg IF
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.94
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.78
X/2
13%
5.21
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.41
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v Silkeborg IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.19/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
-35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.2 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.05.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 4-1 HT 2-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAK
25.04.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
21.04.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 2-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.11.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
08.08.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
02.05.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 4-2 HT 2-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Aalborg 2-1 Silkeborg IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
2-1
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.08 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
392 Passes 396
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg squeezed past Silkeborg IF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aalborg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aalborg had 49% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 51%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.08 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalborg and 2.17 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF?

Aalborg 2-1 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Silkeborg IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 38%, draw 23%, Silkeborg IF 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Silkeborg IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Silkeborg IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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