Randers FC 3-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
5%
7.46
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
17%
5.13
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
-13% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.8 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viborg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.04.2024 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
03.03.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
25.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
30.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
3-1
AWAY Viborg
0.77 xG 0.99
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
251 Passes 490
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC beat Viborg 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Randers FC had 36% of the ball to Viborg's 64%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.77 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Randers FC and 1.33 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Viborg?

Randers FC 3-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 46%, draw 26%, Viborg 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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