Viborg 3-0 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.86
Over 2.5
61%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.41
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.27
X/2
16%
6.04
X/X
10%
4.46
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.14
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
50%
-11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
50%
+11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.54/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.22
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Randers FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.85 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
30.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
05.03.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
21.08.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.02.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
3-0
AWAY Randers FC
0.62 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
376 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg cruised past Randers FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and on the day Viborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Viborg had 50% of the ball to Randers FC's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.62 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Randers FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viborg and 0.83 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Randers FC?

Viborg 3-0 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viborg 39%, draw 21%, Randers FC 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Randers FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Randers FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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