Brondby 1-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
15%
3.64
X/2
9%
11.4
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
8%
9.52
2/X
7%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
1.69/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.75
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
418 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.4 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vejle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
17.10.2021 Brondby Brondby 3-2 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
01.08.2021 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
21.02.2021 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
22.11.2020 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
09.12.2018 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-1
AWAY Vejle
2.78 xG 1.55
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
626 Passes 104
90% Pass Accuracy 55%
29 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby and Vejle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brondby had 78% of the ball to Vejle's 22%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.78 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brondby and 1.00 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Vejle?

Brondby 1-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brondby 53%, draw 25%, Vejle 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brondby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
3 Mar 2024
16:00 Viborg vs Randers FC Analysis →
16:00 Lyngby vs Hvidovre Analysis →
20:00 AGF Aarhus vs Odense Analysis →