Randers FC 1-0 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 24% vs market 17.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
21%
5.12
X/2
10%
6.8
X/X
8%
5.21
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
13%
4.36
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.31
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
22.6 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
03.03.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
25.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
30.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
05.03.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-0
AWAY Viborg
0.70 xG 0.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
268 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC squeezed past Viborg 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Randers FC had 46% of the ball to Viborg's 54%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Randers FC and 1.67 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Viborg?

Randers FC 1-0 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 49%, draw 23%, Viborg 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✓ BTTS No
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