Brondby 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.87
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.39
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.3
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.45/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.68
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
18.5 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.58 xG 1.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
415 Passes 432
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
29.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
06.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
10.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
19.03.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
24.07.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.28 xG 0.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
364 Passes 515
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby squeezed past FC Nordsjaelland 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brondby found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brondby had 44% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 56%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.28 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 2.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Brondby 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brondby 37%, draw 26%, FC Nordsjaelland 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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15 May 2024
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