FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
3.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 21% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.49
X/2
13%
7.98
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.62
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.72/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.38
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.8 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.74 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
450 Passes 394
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
06.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
10.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
19.03.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
24.07.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
20.02.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0-2 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1-1
AWAY Brondby
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 55% of the ball to Brondby's 45%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.33 for Brondby.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 48%, draw 23%, Brondby 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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