Odense 1-2 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.61
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 30% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
10%
9.82
X/X
15%
6.26
2/1
6%
20.35
2/2
15%
7.03
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
58%
-16.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.58/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.79
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.5 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hvidovre
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.92 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Odense Odense 0-2 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
27.08.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-5 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-2
AWAY Hvidovre
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Odense vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre edged past Odense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Odense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odense had 58% of the ball to Hvidovre's 42%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Odense and 1.50 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Odense vs Hvidovre?

Odense 1-2 Hvidovre in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Odense 41%, draw 27%, Hvidovre 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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