Gagra vs Sioni Bolnisi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Sioni Bolnisi — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Sioni Bolnisi Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Gagra 2-2 Sioni Bolnisi — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra and Sioni Bolnisi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gagra had 41% of the ball to Sioni Bolnisi's 59%, shots finished 8-24.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gagra had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gagra and 0.67 for Sioni Bolnisi.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Sioni Bolnisi?
Gagra 2-2 Sioni Bolnisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Sioni Bolnisi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gagra 43%, draw 26%, Sioni Bolnisi 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.