Academico Viseu 2-1 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Dec 2024

Academico Viseu
2-1 HT 1-0
UD Oliveirense
📅16/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
31%
3.0
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academico Viseu v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.47/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.2 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.62 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
270 Passes 259
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
17.09.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
22.04.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-4 HT 0-3 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
05.11.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
14.05.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.01.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

Academico Viseu 2-1 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
2-1
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.93 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
235 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academico Viseu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 43% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 57%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.93 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academico Viseu and 2.17 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense?

Academico Viseu 2-1 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 48%, draw 24%, UD Oliveirense 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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