Academico Viseu 2-2 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.74
Over
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.82
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
19%
4.04
6+
7%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.70
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.60 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
22.04.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-4 HT 0-3 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
05.11.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
14.05.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.01.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
22.12.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
2-2
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.71 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
244 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and UD Oliveirense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academico Viseu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 50% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.71 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academico Viseu and 2.17 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense?

Academico Viseu 2-2 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 48%, draw 28%, UD Oliveirense 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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