CD Feirense vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Feirense v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
CD Feirense vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
CD Feirense
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
CD Feirense
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Nacional
POR2
4-1
HT 2-0
Nacional
POR2
2-1
HT 1-0
CD Feirense
POR2
3-1
HT 0-1
Nacional
POK
CD Feirense 2-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
CD Feirense squeezed past Nacional 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 38% — and on the day CD Feirense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CD Feirense had 46% of the ball to Nacional's 54%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.32 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Feirense and 1.00 for Nacional.
What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Nacional?
CD Feirense 2-1 Nacional in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 32%, draw 29%, Nacional 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.