FK Partizan 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.73/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.47
+25% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.8 Crosses 21.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
2W-1D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 1.11
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
422 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
17.02.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 5-2 HT 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
03.09.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-3 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
1-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.77 xG 0.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 245
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan and IMT Novi Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FK Partizan at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Partizan had 61% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 39%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FK Partizan and 1.33 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?

FK Partizan 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 53%, draw 28%, IMT Novi Beograd 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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