FK Partizan 5-2 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.4pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.19/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.11
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +38%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.5 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.57 xG 1.15
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
444 Passes 133
81% Pass Accuracy 58%
51 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-3 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
5-2
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.84 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
343 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan ran out comfortable winners over IMT Novi Beograd 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FK Partizan had 56% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.84 to 1.14.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?

FK Partizan 5-2 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 62%, draw 23%, IMT Novi Beograd 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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