Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.89/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
+28% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.3 Crosses 22.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.23 xG 0.86
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
373 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.09.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
2-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.87 xG 0.59
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
378 Passes 136
79% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom squeezed past Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 69% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 31%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.87 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cukaricki Stankom's control.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 58%, draw 24%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Over 2.5
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