Novi Pazar 0-3 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
59%
Away Win
74%
-15.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 79%
+23% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
1.31/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.68
+58% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.1
14.9 Crosses 25.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.46 xG 2.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
159 Passes 464
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.03.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
11.05.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 8-0 HT 5-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
06.03.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-0 HT 4-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
26.09.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-4 HT 0-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-3
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.68 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
303 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız cruised past Novi Pazar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 52% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 48%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 4.33 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Novi Pazar 0-3 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 22%, draw 19%, Kızılyıldız 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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