Queen Of The South 4-3 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 16 Dec 2025

Queen Of The South
4-3 HT 2-1
Dunfermline Athletic
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Queen Of The South vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
24%
+12.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queen Of The South v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 56%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.73/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.13
-50% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queen Of The South vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKK
15.04.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 5-0 HT 2-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
25.02.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
03.12.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
03.09.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
29.04.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dunfermline Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.17 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Queen Of The South 4-3 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 36%, draw 23%, Dunfermline Athletic 42%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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