Elgin City 2-3 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.95/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.99
-40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
180 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY East Fife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
01.02.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
07.12.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-1 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.08.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 4-2 HT 2-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
30.03.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.02.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
09.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 4-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife squeezed past Elgin City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 39% — and on the day East Fife made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 1.67 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Fife?

Elgin City 2-3 East Fife in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 40%, draw 20%, East Fife 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elgin City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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