Elgin City 1-0 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.63/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.09
+26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
243 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY East Fife
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
07.12.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-1 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.08.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 4-2 HT 2-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
30.03.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.02.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
09.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 4-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
26.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past East Fife 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Elgin City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Fife led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 1.83 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Fife?

Elgin City 1-0 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 36%, draw 24%, East Fife 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (East Fife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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