Beerschot VA 1-2 KAA Gent II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.07
Over
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.81
2-3
40%
1.81
4-5
25%
3.01
6+
10%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.03/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.65
-49% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.5 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KAA Gent II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 433
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2025 KAA Gent II KAA Gent II 1-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
1-2
AWAY KAA Gent II
1.45 xG 0.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
261 Passes 296
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs KAA Gent II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAA Gent II nicked a narrow win over Beerschot VA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beerschot VA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 48% of the ball to KAA Gent II's 52%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.45 to 0.58 — on chances, Beerschot VA could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs KAA Gent II?

Beerschot VA 1-2 KAA Gent II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs KAA Gent II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 44%, draw 31%, KAA Gent II 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beerschot VA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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