Olympic Charleroi 1-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
58%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.1
Over Pick
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.93
2-3
33%
1.82
4-5
29%
2.96
6+
12%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
27%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
58%
Away Win
49%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 53%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.64/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.89
-100% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.3 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Charleroi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.19 xG 2.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
290 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.08.2025 Lommel United Lommel United 3-0 HT 1-0 Olympic Charleroi Olympic Charleroi BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Charleroi
1-2
AWAY Lommel United
1.27 xG 1.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
287 Passes 480
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olympic Charleroi vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United nicked a narrow win over Olympic Charleroi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Olympic Charleroi had 40% of the ball to Lommel United's 60%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.27 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Olympic Charleroi vs Lommel United?

Olympic Charleroi 1-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Charleroi vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Olympic Charleroi 19%, draw 24%, Lommel United 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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