Maritimo vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR2
Maritimo 1-1 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo and Benfica II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Maritimo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Maritimo had 56% of the ball to Benfica II's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.17 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Maritimo and 0.75 for Benfica II.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Benfica II?
Maritimo 1-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Benfica II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 56%, draw 22%, Benfica II 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo), Over 2.5 went the other way.