D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-1 Zambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 17 Jan 2024

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1-1 HT 1-1
Zambiya
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Zambiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.43
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.5
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.74
X/2
8%
6.04
X/X
13%
3.44
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
11%
4.94
2/X
12%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti v Zambiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.00/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.68
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +91%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Zambiya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zambiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
270 Passes 168
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
The Meetings
18.01.2015 Zambiya Zambiya 1-1 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-1 Zambiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1-1
AWAY Zambiya
2.54 xG 0.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
393 Passes 305
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
48 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Zambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti and Zambiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti had 56% of the ball to Zambiya's 44%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 2.54 to 0.20.

What was the final score of D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Zambiya?

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-1 Zambiya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Zambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 44%, draw 31%, Zambiya 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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