Fas 3-0 Tanzanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 17 Jan 2024

Fas
3-0 HT 1-0
Tanzanya
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Fas vs Tanzanya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
3.06
No
64%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
34.0
X/1
24%
3.0
X/2
4%
34.0
X/X
9%
7.29
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
6%
33.5
2/X
5%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
28%
+8.0pp
64%
BTTS No
72%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fas v Tanzanya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanzanya EU Bookmakers 8%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.49/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.52
+3% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
21.7 Crosses 11.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fas vs Tanzanya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Tanzanya
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Tanzanya Tanzanya 0-2 HT 0-1 Fas Fas DKE
08.06.2013 Fas Fas 2-1 HT 1-0 Tanzanya Tanzanya DKE
24.03.2013 Tanzanya Tanzanya 3-1 HT 0-0 Fas Fas DKE
09.10.2011 Fas Fas 3-1 HT 1-1 Tanzanya Tanzanya AFUK
09.10.2010 Tanzanya Tanzanya 0-1 HT 0-1 Fas Fas AFUK

Fas 3-0 Tanzanya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
3-0
AWAY Tanzanya
2.53 xG 0.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
404 Passes 374
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 2
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fas vs Tanzanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas swept aside Tanzanya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Fas had 52% of the ball to Tanzanya's 48%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 2.53 to 0.03.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Fas and 1.00 for Tanzanya.

What was the final score of Fas vs Tanzanya?

Fas 3-0 Tanzanya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Tanzanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fas 65%, draw 21%, Tanzanya 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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