Defensor Sporting 1-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
79%
-23.6pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.5pp
25%
Away Win
8%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
555 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting and Union Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Defensor Sporting carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 43% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 57%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Union Santa Fe?

Defensor Sporting 1-1 Union Santa Fe in the Friendlies on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 56%, draw 19%, Union Santa Fe 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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