Polonia Bytom 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
42%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
42%
Away Win
58%
-16.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 41% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 59%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?

Polonia Bytom 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Friendlies on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 29%, draw 29%, Ruch Chorzow 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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