FC Goa 1-0 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 17 Jan 2024

FC Goa
1-0 HT 0-0
Bengaluru
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

FC Goa vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.02
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
7%
9.04
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.81 — our 49% vs market 47.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 22%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +134%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

FC Goa vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 187
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.10.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
23.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
23.01.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
11.12.2021 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
21.02.2021 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past Bengaluru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Goa and 1.33 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

FC Goa 1-0 Bengaluru in the India - Super Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 55%, draw 21%, Bengaluru 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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