CS Cartagines 1-2 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
2.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.25
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
351 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Cartagines
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
24.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
28.07.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
19.03.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 4-1 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
22.01.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 0-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
03.10.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
12.05.2022 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-0 HT 3-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Cartagines
1-2
AWAY Guanacasteca
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Cartagines vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca edged past CS Cartagines 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CS Cartagines at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, CS Cartagines had 64% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 36%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CS Cartagines and 0.83 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of CS Cartagines vs Guanacasteca?

CS Cartagines 1-2 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Cartagines vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Cartagines win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CS Cartagines 49%, draw 28%, Guanacasteca 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CS Cartagines) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Cartagines) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
17 Jan 2024
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