Santos de Guapiles 2-4 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Jan 2024

Santos de Guapiles
2-4 HT 0-2
San Carlos
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Costa Rica - Premier League – 2023/2024

Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos de Guapiles v San Carlos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.31/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-4D-2L
AWAY San Carlos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
18.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
06.04.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA

Santos de Guapiles 2-4 San Carlos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2-4
AWAY San Carlos
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos got the better of Santos de Guapiles 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 52% of the ball to San Carlos's 48%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Santos de Guapiles 2-4 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 35%, draw 30%, San Carlos 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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