Burnley 0-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Jan 2025

Burnley
0-0 HT 0-0
Sunderland
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.21
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
19%
5.15
6+
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
14%
4.55
X/2
13%
6.42
X/X
11%
3.77
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
11%
5.4
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland The Market 32%
+10% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.33/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
+12% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
23.9 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Burnley vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sunderland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
404 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
31.03.2023 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
22.10.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-4 HT 2-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
28.08.2019 Burnley Burnley 1-3 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
18.03.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
17.01.2017 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland FAK

Burnley 0-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-0
AWAY Sunderland
0.68 xG 2.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
478 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Sunderland played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burnley had 58% of the ball to Sunderland's 42%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.68 to 2.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burnley and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Sunderland?

Burnley 0-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burnley 44%, draw 27%, Sunderland 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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