Sunderland 1-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

Sunderland
1-0 HT 1-0
Burnley
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.38
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.05
X/2
10%
5.93
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
20%
4.23
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.36
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.2 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sunderland vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Burnley
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
217 Passes 387
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2023 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
22.10.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-4 HT 2-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
28.08.2019 Burnley Burnley 1-3 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
18.03.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
17.01.2017 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland FAK
07.01.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley FAK

Sunderland 1-0 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-0
AWAY Burnley
0.73 xG 0.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
299 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland edged past Burnley 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sunderland made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sunderland had 41% of the ball to Burnley's 59%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.73 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sunderland and 1.17 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Burnley?

Sunderland 1-0 Burnley in the England - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 36%, draw 27%, Burnley 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burnley), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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