Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
19%
3.93
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
15%
7.77
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.95
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -50%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.9 Crosses 10.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Oxford United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
05.05.2018 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
21.11.2017 Oxford United Oxford United 2-4 HT 1-3 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
30.01.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 0-3 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2-1
AWAY Oxford United
0.82 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
346 Passes 416
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers nicked a narrow win over Oxford United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 47% of the ball to Oxford United's 53%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Oxford United?

Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 47%, draw 25%, Oxford United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ BTTS No
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