Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
12%
4.13
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
9%
5.72
2/1
8%
21.35
2/2
12%
7.06
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.75
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.6 Crosses 10.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
460 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
05.09.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNLK
09.03.2010 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
15.08.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
25.04.2009 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.40 xG 0.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
30 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
315 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
61 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers and Plymouth Argyle shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Queens Park Rangers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 55% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 45%, shots finished 30-6, expected goals 2.40 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 0.83 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 47%, draw 25%, Plymouth Argyle 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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